Possible scenario
Colom Pulls Upset
14% Chance
A rare Democratic upset becomes possible if Colom maximizes Black turnout, wins enough college-educated suburban voters, and benefits from a weak national Republican environment. Obama's endorsement becomes a catalyst for national donor attention and volunteer mobilization.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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