Possible scenario
Discipline Upheld
20% Chance
The Court grants review but ultimately affirms the state’s authority to discipline lawyers for knowingly false election-related conduct. This would strengthen state bars’ ability to sanction attorneys involved in efforts to overturn election results.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.