Possible scenario
Symbolic Bill Stalls
42% Chance
The most likely outcome is that the bill demonstrates a larger Democratic split over settlements but does not reach a floor vote. House leadership, the House Foreign Affairs Committee, and pro-Israel members avoid forcing a divisive vote before broader defense and appropriations negotiations.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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