Possible scenario
Temporary Traffic Slowdown
27% Chance
The canal remains intact, but the Panama Canal Authority adopts a conservative operating posture for several days. Vessel queues lengthen because post-quake inspections coincide with the existing drought-related limits on daily sailings.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Industrials -0.5%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.4%
- Energy +0.2%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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