Possible scenario
Texas Relief Works
35% Chance
Texas successfully channels off-road dyed diesel into on-road trucking without major enforcement or supply problems. The policy gives carriers and distributors a near-term cost bridge while Washington debates broader relief.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.3%
- Consumer Non-Cyclicals +0.3%
- Energy -0.2%
- Industrials +0.2%
- Non-Energy Materials -0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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