Possible scenario
Quiet Case Closure
42% Chance
The most likely path is that the Justice Department ends the case without a public confrontation with Seoul. U.S. officials preserve the broader U.S.-South Korea security relationship while handling any classified-material or investigative issues internally.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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