Possible scenario
Regional Outbreaks Persist
33% Chance
Vaccination efforts slow the outbreak but do not quickly end it in counties with low kindergarten MMR coverage. The result is a prolonged but still geographically concentrated public-health problem rather than a nationwide shutdown event.
Secondary impacts
- Healthcare +0.8%
- Consumer Services -0.5%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.3%
Tickers
- MRK+2.8%
- CVS+1.1%
- DGX+0.6%
- +0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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