Possible scenario
Narrow 2027 Revival
20% Chance
If the 2026 vehicle fails, lawmakers are likely to return to the issue because the House settlement and state NIL conflicts remain unresolved. A narrower bill focused on NIL disclosure, agent rules, and state-law preemption has a better path than sweeping antitrust or employment immunity.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +0.1%
- Business Services +0.1%
Tickers
- DIS+0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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