Possible scenario
Biggs Comeback
20% Chance
The 16-point poll turns out to be an outlier or captures a temporary post-news swing. Biggs consolidates Republicans, attacks Hobbs on border security and cost-of-living issues, and benefits from a more favorable national environment for the GOP.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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