Possible scenario
Allied Limits Emerge
15% Chance
Domestic politics in the Philippines and allied concerns about escalation could slow the most visible missile demonstrations. The U.S. still maintains access under EDCA, but some events become less public or are shifted to less sensitive locations.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Industrials -0.2%
- Technology +0.1%
Tickers
- LMT-0.5%
- -0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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