Possible scenario
Compromise Tax Emerges
24% Chance
The NBER study strengthens the case for replacing the billionaire tax with a narrower levy or surcharge. Union leaders and Democratic lawmakers try to preserve some new revenue while reducing the risk of billionaire relocation and litigation.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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