Managed Transition Holds

The most likely outcome is that CENTCOM accepts a smaller dedicated mine-countermeasure presence because the Strait of Hormuz has just been cleared for transit. U.S. commanders rely on allied patrols, airborne assets, and unmanned systems to prevent the transfer from looking like a security vacuum.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.