Possible scenario
Raise Closes Smoothly
40% Chance
OpenAI completes most or all of the negotiated $30 billion raise on terms near its recent $730 billion valuation. Investors view Dots as a credible step toward consumer and enterprise agent adoption, while Microsoft and Nvidia benefit from expected cloud and accelerator demand.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Technology +1.4%
- Business Services +0.6%
- Utilities +0.4%
Tickers
- NVDA+2.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.8%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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