Possible scenario
Storm-Driven Price Firming
40% Chance
The most likely path is that Hurricane Isaias keeps traders focused on Gulf Coast refining risk, even if the physical damage is limited. With inventories already weaker than expected and pump prices turning higher, gasoline stays firm in the near term.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Up
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.4%
- Consumer Services -0.1%
Tickers
- XOM-0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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