Possible scenario
Drone Lifeline Continues
40% Chance
Ukrainian Marines keep using small drones to fly food, medicine, and batteries across the Dnipro to civilians trapped in Russian-controlled Oleshky. The operation reduces immediate starvation risk but does not break the blockade or change the military front line.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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