Possible scenario
Hinojosa Lead Holds
31% Chance
Hinojosa’s polling lead reflects a real shift in suburban and Latino voter sentiment rather than a temporary survey outlier. Abbott’s fundraising lead narrows the gap but does not overcome voter fatigue after three Abbott terms.
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.2%
- Utilities +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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