Possible scenario
Abbott Momentum Returns
38% Chance
Greg Abbott’s Q3 fundraising advantage helps him reframe the race after a poll showing Hinojosa ahead. The most likely path is that Abbott’s campaign converts the cash edge into heavier television, digital, and turnout operations in the final month.
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.1%
- Finance +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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