Possible scenario
Race Tightens Late
25% Chance
The Marist result proves to be a high-water mark for Hochul as crime, affordability, and migration issues dominate the final weeks. Hochul remains favored, but the contest becomes closer than the 53%-42% poll suggests.
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.1%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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