Possible scenario
Hochul Wins Comfortably
55% Chance
The Marist poll confirms that Kathy Hochul has expanded her advantage beyond the earlier 48%-41% lead. Bruce Blakeman struggles to broaden his appeal outside Republican-leaning suburbs, and Hochul wins a second full term with a clear but not overwhelming margin.
Secondary impacts
- Utilities +0.2%
- Healthcare +0.1%
- Finance -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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