Possible scenario
Pilot Advances Smoothly
45% Chance
The most likely path is a controlled wholesale pilot led by the UK Debt Management Office, the Treasury, the Bank of England, and appointed gilt-market banks. The project builds on 2026 tokenized deposit transfers and the FCA's regulated crypto gateway without changing near-term gilt issuance volumes or monetary policy.
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.5%
- Technology +0.2%
Tickers
- JPM+0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.