Possible scenario
Delayed or Narrow Approval
22% Chance
Chinese regulators approve only part of the requested purchases or delay ByteDance's clearance because of security, data, or political sensitivities. This leaves the market with an incremental positive for Nvidia but no clear evidence of a durable reopening.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.1%
Tickers
- NVDA+0.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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