Possible scenario
Draw Proves Temporary
30% Chance
Markets conclude that the inventory decline reflects timing effects, refinery runs, or import swings rather than a durable demand improvement. The prior build and uncertain product-demand backdrop keep a lid on crude's rally.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.6%
Tickers
- XOM-0.6%
- CVX-0.6%
- +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.