Possible scenario
Refill Policy Stays Cautious
25% Chance
Washington remains reluctant to rebuild the SPR aggressively while oil prices are elevated. The Energy Department balances energy-security concerns against the risk that government purchases push crude prices higher.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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