Possible scenario
Diplomatic Isolation Deepens
38% Chance
Netanyahu's UN confrontation and the walkout become part of a broader diplomatic campaign against Israel over Gaza and the ICC warrants. European, Arab, and Global South delegations increase symbolic protests while avoiding a formal break with Washington.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- US dollar Up
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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