Possible scenario
City Protests Intensify
18% Chance
The Netanyahu-Mamdani clash mobilizes both pro-Palestinian and pro-Israel demonstrations in New York. Security costs and local disruptions rise, but the impact remains concentrated around Midtown Manhattan and UN-related events.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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