Possible scenario
Protests Stay Contained
45% Chance
The most likely path is that NYPD arrests and barricades disperse the blockade without sustained disorder beyond the UN security zone. Protest groups continue demonstrations, but road access, diplomatic schedules, and Netanyahu's UN visit proceed with only limited delays.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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