Possible scenario
Supply Tightens Again
18% Chance
A renewed refinery or pipeline disruption reduces gasoline supply into the Southeast, partially reversing Georgia's pump-price drop. This would matter more for energy equities and wholesale gasoline than for broad financial conditions.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.3%
Tickers
- MPC+0.4%
- PSX+0.4%
- +0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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