Possible scenario
Relief Persists
45% Chance
Georgia pump prices continue falling as the state tax suspension, ExxonMobil Joliet restart, and lower crude prices work through wholesale markets. The most likely path is a continued but slower decline in retail gasoline, with limited national market impact because the policy is state-level and already announced.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.2%
- Energy -0.2%
Tickers
- MPC-0.3%
- -0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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