Possible scenario
Defense Challenges Footage
22% Chance
The driver's attorneys may argue that the bodycam footage is incomplete or does not prove intentional assault. This path would keep public attention on the shooting and could create pressure for broader disclosure of videos, reports, and medical records.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.