Possible scenario
Exports Normalize Lower
20% Chance
The October export high proves temporary as maintenance, domestic needs, customer nominations or loading schedules reduce outbound volumes. Crude prices rebound modestly as traders fade the idea of a sustained supply wave.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Up
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +1.1%
Tickers
- XOM+1.1%
- +1.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.