Possible scenario
Probe Widens
20% Chance
The corruption probe expands beyond Guilfoyle’s job status into her contacts with Greek business figures and possible use of official influence. This would extend the controversy and could slow some embassy-led commercial initiatives, though broad market effects would remain limited.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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