Possible scenario
Court Standoff Continues
35% Chance
New York, New York City, and the Trump administration remain locked in federal litigation over sanctuary policies and ICE detainer compliance. Courts move slowly, and the most likely near-term outcome is procedural rulings rather than an immediate statewide policy reversal.
Tickers
- GEO-0.2%
- CXW-0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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