Possible scenario
Financing Stabilizes
38% Chance
CoreWeave convinces creditors that the 1,000 bps unsecured spread reflects temporary technical pressure rather than a near-term solvency problem. The company leans on the OpenAI contract, secured borrowing capacity, and slower capex growth to keep access to debt markets open.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.3%
Tickers
- CRWV+5.1%
- CORZ+1.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.