Possible scenario
Quiet Settlement
27% Chance
The Justice Department moves to resolve the case before broad discovery exposes internal FBI deliberations. A settlement is plausible because both sides may prefer money, record correction, or reassignment over a prolonged public fight about politicized law enforcement.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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