Possible scenario
Executive Crackdown Expands
28% Chance
The White House uses Vance's comments to justify a broad administrative campaign against H-1B use. This path does not abolish the program outright, but approvals fall, renewals become less predictable, and employers accelerate domestic hiring or offshore work.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services -2.7%
- Technology -1.8%
Tickers
- CTSH-4.7%
- MSFT-1.2%
- AMZN-1.1%
- ACN-0.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.9%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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