Possible scenario
NCAA Prevails
18% Chance
The Court could grant review but still side with the NCAA on standing, causation, or the scope of Title IX remedies. This would not necessarily reverse the broader conservative trend on transgender-athlete restrictions, but it would limit retrospective claims against the NCAA for past rules.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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