Possible scenario
Saudi Security Crackdown
24% Chance
Saudi Arabia responds to repeated Houthi strikes by tightening controls around airports, Aramco facilities, and military sites. The measure is framed as wartime security enforcement and affects tourists, journalists, contractors, and expatriates.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.4%
- Business Services -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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