Possible scenario
Quiet Consular Resolution
42% Chance
Saudi authorities treat the filming incident as a security violation rather than espionage or hostile activity. The U.S. Embassy in Riyadh secures access and the detainees are released, fined, or deported after deleting footage from restricted attack sites.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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