Possible scenario
Ban Coalition Expands
30% Chance
US security agencies use the federal ban to encourage allies, state governments, and sensitive industries to restrict DeepSeek. This would materially reduce DeepSeek's non-China addressable market and make the IPO valuation harder to defend.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -2.0%
- Business Services +0.9%
- Telecommunications -0.3%
- Finance -0.2%
- Industrials -0.1%
Tickers
- PLTR+2.8%
- +0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.9%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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