Federal Mekelle Push

Ethiopian federal forces press their advantage toward Mekelle while Eritrea remains active mainly on the Afar and northern fronts. This is plausible because the seizure of airports by Tigrayan forces gives Addis Ababa a strong incentive to retake airfields quickly before Tigray consolidates logistics.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.