Possible scenario
Deleveraging Continues
30% Chance
The emergency meeting fails to stop forced selling by retail leveraged products, margin accounts, and foreign investors. The selloff remains concentrated in Korean equities but spills into global technology and risk sentiment over the next one to two sessions.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
- Bitcoin Down
- Copper Down
- US dollar Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-2.7%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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