Possible scenario
Hard Anti-AI Pivot
16% Chance
A less likely but market-relevant outcome is that the phrase reflects a real policy turn against systems branded as AI, not just the terminology. That would conflict with earlier pro-AI statements, but it could still trigger short-term selling in software, semiconductors, and federal technology contractors.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -2.2%
- Business Services -1.1%
- Industrials -0.5%
- Telecommunications -0.5%
Tickers
- AI-4.0%
- PLTR-2.8%
- -2.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-1.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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