Possible scenario
Glancing Coastal Impact
45% Chance
Simon stays near the Pacific coast but does not deliver a worst-case landfall on a major urban center. Evacuations, school closures, and beach restrictions reduce casualties, while damage remains concentrated in low-lying coastal towns and resort infrastructure.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.4%
- Utilities -0.3%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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