Possible scenario
Government Holds Line
25% Chance
Sanchez may calculate that the Madrid protests have shifted public opinion enough to withstand Junts criticism. In this path, the government validates or enforces the ban with support from other left and regional parties, leaving landlords and lenders facing a longer period of recovery uncertainty.
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.7%
- Non-Energy Materials -0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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