Possible scenario
Court Challenge Escalates
18% Chance
Junts could shift from parliamentary opposition to a legal strategy, likely alongside the PP and landlord associations. This would prolong uncertainty rather than immediately reverse the policy, creating a mixed market reaction depending on whether courts suspend any part of the ban.
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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