Possible scenario
Russian Cyber Retaliation
20% Chance
Russia responds to the Yandex disruption with cyberattacks against Ukrainian and possibly European digital infrastructure. The attacks are disruptive but remain below a threshold that would materially change NATO involvement.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
- US dollar Up
Secondary impacts
- Telecommunications -0.6%
- Technology -0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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