Possible scenario
Gold Stabilizes Nearby
30% Chance
Gold may consolidate after the sharp selloff if Treasury yields stop rising and the dollar pauses. In this scenario, traders wait for the next inflation print and Fed communication rather than extending the move immediately.
Initial impacts
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
- Market volatility Down
- US dollar Down
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.3%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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