Possible scenario
Recurve Limits Damage
40% Chance
Champi remains an extremely intense storm but follows the more benign forecast track, recurving over open water after passing the Marianas. Damage is limited to coastal flooding, high surf, and short-duration transport interruptions, with markets treating the event as localized.
Secondary impacts
- Telecommunications +0.1%
- Consumer Services +0.1%
Tickers
- UAL+0.1%
- MATX+0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.