Possible scenario
Japan Track Risk
22% Chance
Forecast models keep Champi strong enough to threaten Japan's southern islands or approach the main islands after recurvature. The most likely market impact is short-term disruption to airlines, coastal logistics, utilities, and insurers rather than a broad global shock.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.3%
- Utilities -0.3%
- Finance -0.2%
- Industrials -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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