Possible scenario
Rates Start Easing
25% Chance
Shipping markets begin to normalize as Gulf loadings recover, naval escorts expand, and insurers narrow war-risk premiums. Asian refiners regain part of their lost margin, while tanker equities give back recent gains.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.6%
- Energy -0.5%
- Industrials +0.4%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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